SCR Altach 1-0 WSG Wattens – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model rates SCR Altach at 36%, yet other data sources diverge — this SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Pre-Match Analysis
SCR Altach and WSG Wattens meet at CASHPOINT Arena in Bundesliga, Regular Season - 3. This fixture gets under way on Sunday 13 August 2023 at 16:00 UTC.
Form & Momentum
SCR Altach have collected 0.80 PPG across 10 Bundesliga outings this season: 1W 5D 4L. Last five: W D D L L. They are averaging 0.60 goals per game and conceding 1.40 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. SCR Altach have played only a handful of Bundesliga games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
At home at CASHPOINT Arena, SCR Altach have gone 1W 4D 5L this season (10 games, 0.70 PPG). At home they are averaging 0.50 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game.
WSG Wattens (all games): 1W 4D 5L across 10 Bundesliga outings this term — 0.70 points per game. Last five: W L D L L. Their scoring rate of 0.90 per game is modest, conceding 2.10 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. Conceding 2.10 per game is a high rate — their defensive vulnerabilities have been exposed regularly this season. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market. WSG Wattens have played only a handful of Bundesliga games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
When travelling in Bundesliga this season, WSG Wattens have posted 3W 2D 5L from 10 away outings — 1.10 PPG. Away from home they average 1.00 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game.
Neither side holds a meaningful form edge. The 0.80 vs 0.70 PPG split is negligible — model and market signals should carry more analytical weight for this one.
Trading Data
SCR Altach goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (34 games, 17 at home): they score before half-time in 71% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 73% of the time; BTTS occurs in 53% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 35% of games (home games); they fail to score in 41% of games.
WSG Wattens goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (34 games, 17 at away): they score before half-time in 71% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 67% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 56% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 59% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 65% of games (away games); Over 3.5 in 38%; they fail to score in 35% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — SCR Altach 50% versus WSG Wattens 59%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (SCR Altach 50% | WSG Wattens 59%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects SCR Altach 1.33 xG and WSG Wattens 1.20 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: SCR Altach attack 0.797 / defence 1.048 | WSG Wattens attack 0.847 / defence 1.143. League average goals — home 1.459 / away 1.353. SCR Altach's attack strength of 0.797 is below the league average — the 1.33 xG projection reflects a team that scores at a discount to the division norm. Data: 24 SCR Altach games / 24 WSG Wattens games used (Blended). A blend of current and prior-season data is applied to stabilise estimates early in the campaign.
Result probabilities: SCR Altach 36% | Draw 34% | WSG Wattens 30%. Fair-value odds: SCR Altach 2.78 | Draw 2.94 | WSG Wattens 3.33. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 34% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 46% | BTTS probability 55% | Total xG 2.53. Over/Under 2.5 is close to a coin-flip at 46%/54% — the total xG of 2.53 sits near the 2.5 margin; this is a low-edge market from a Poisson standpoint. BTTS probability of 55% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Verdict
The Poisson model's primary lean is SCR Altach at 36% — marginal model lean. Draw probability of 34% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on SCR Altach if the outright odds are short. The opposing side holds a 30% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.53 combined xG gives a 46% probability to Under 2.5 — Poisson-only — limited corroboration.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is Yes at 55%. This conflicts with form data: SCR Altach 40% | WSG Wattens 40% from recent games — a notable divergence.
The Poisson model is drawing on Blended data (24 games minimum) — early-season projections carry additional uncertainty. Weight the live form and odds signals accordingly.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens | Competition: Bundesliga, Regular Season - 3 | Venue: CASHPOINT Arena • Kick-off: Sunday 13 Aug 2023, 16:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: SCR Altach 36% | Draw 34% | WSG Wattens 30% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 46% | BTTS 55% | xG SCR Altach 1.33 / WSG Wattens 1.20 • Poisson strength factors: SCR Altach attack 0.797 / def 1.048 | WSG Wattens attack 0.847 / def 1.143 | league avg home 1.459 / away 1.353 • Poisson stance: SCR Altach (36%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.33
SCR Altach xG
Expected Goals
1.20
WSG Wattens xG
55%
BTTS
76%
Over 1.5
46%
Over 2.5
25%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens kick off?
SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens kicked off at 16:00 on Sunday 13 August 2023 at CASHPOINT Arena.
What was the final score in SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens?
SCR Altach 1 - 0 WSG Wattens.
Where is SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens being played?
The match is being played at CASHPOINT Arena.
What competition is SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens part of?
SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens is a Regular Season - 3 fixture in the Bundesliga (Austria).
Who is favourite to win SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens?
Our statistical model gives SCR Altach a 36% chance of winning, WSG Wattens a 30% chance, and a 34% chance of a draw — making SCR Altach the favourite.
Will both teams score in SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens?
Our model estimates a 55% probability that both SCR Altach and WSG Wattens will score (BTTS).
Will SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 46%.
What is the head-to-head record between SCR Altach and WSG Wattens?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are SCR Altach and WSG Wattens in?
SCR Altach (all comps): 1W-5D-4L in 10 | 0.80 PPG | GF 0.60 / GA 1.40 | L5 W-D-D-L-L. WSG Wattens (all comps): 1W-4D-5L in 10 | 0.70 PPG | GF 0.90 / GA 2.10 | L5 W-L-D-L-L.
🧮 Model Insight
Where the Numbers Come From
SCR Altach's attacking strength (0.80x league average) is weighed against WSG Wattens's defensive record (1.14x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.33. Flip it around — WSG Wattens's attack (0.85x) against SCR Altach's defence (1.05x) — and the away total comes out at 1.20.
The sample (24/24 games) mixes this season and last, since the current campaign is still relatively young.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 14.4%. Close behind: 0-0 (9.6%), 1-0 (8.9%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 33% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
SCR Altach Win
36%
2.79
34%
2.91
30%
3.36
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.7%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
10.6%
Home win
0 – 1
9.5%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.33
SCR Altach xG
Total xG
2.53
1.20
WSG Wattens xG
2.79
36%
Home win
2.91
34%
Draw
3.36
30%
Away win
Goals Markets
72%
Over 1.5
1.39
28%
Under 1.5
3.57
46%
Over 2.5
2.17
54%
Under 2.5
1.85
25%
Over 3.5
4.00
75%
Under 3.5
1.33
11%
Over 4.5
9.09
89%
Under 4.5
1.12
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
55%
BTTS Yes
1.81
45%
BTTS No
2.23
Clean Sheet
30%
3.32
26%
3.78
Win to Nil
11%
9.26
8%
12.73
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.9 | 9.5 | 5.7 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 10.6 | 12.7 | 7.6 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.0 | 8.5 | 5.1 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.1 | 3.8 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.4%.
How many goals are SCR Altach and WSG Wattens expected to score?
The model projects 1.33 expected goals for SCR Altach and 1.20 for WSG Wattens, a combined total of 2.53.
How confident is the prediction model for SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 36%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Recent Form Overview
SCR Altach's recent record stands at 6W 10D 18L from 34 games, a 0.82 PPG return, with W-D-D-L-L in the last five. It's still early in the season for SCR Altach, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
WSG Wattens, meanwhile, have gone 10W 8D 16L across 34 games — 1.12 PPG, with W-L-D-L-L in their last five. It's still early in the season for WSG Wattens, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
There isn't much between them on recent form — 0.82 PPG for SCR Altach against 1.12 for WSG Wattens. Neither side arrives with a clear form advantage.
How They Fare by Venue
At home specifically, SCR Altach have managed 3W 5D 9L from 17 games — 0.82 PPG in front of their own supporters.
WSG Wattens's away record stands at 6W 2D 9L across 17 trips, a 1.18 PPG haul.
Attack vs Defence
SCR Altach are averaging 0.85 goals scored and 1.74 conceded per game recently; WSG Wattens are on 1.32 scored and 1.74 conceded.
Last 34 Results — Bundesliga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
SCR Altach
Early Season
WSG Wattens
Early Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are SCR Altach and WSG Wattens in coming into this match?
SCR Altach have gone 6W 10D 18L in their last 34 games (0.82 PPG), while WSG Wattens have gone 10W 8D 16L in their last 34 (1.12 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — SCR Altach at home or WSG Wattens away?
WSG Wattens's away record (1.18 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — SCR Altach at home: 0.82 PPG; WSG Wattens away: 1.18 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
The Rivalry So Far
These sides have met 10 times that we have on record, stretching back to May 2024 — a rivalry that has played out across roughly 2 years. Every recorded meeting has come in Bundesliga. The two were last together as recently as 7 August 2026, so this form is fresh in the memory.
Notable Numbers
For context on how one-sided this fixture can get: SCR Altach won 3-0 on 26 Apr 2025, the biggest margin either side has managed in the series.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, SCR Altach have gone 2W 2D 1L from 5 meetings on their own ground against WSG Wattens — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 10 Meetings
4
SCR Altach
3
Draws
3
WSG Wattens
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between SCR Altach and WSG Wattens?
From 10 meetings on record, SCR Altach have won 4, WSG Wattens have won 3, and 3 have been drawn.
When did SCR Altach and WSG Wattens last play each other?
They last met on 7 August 2026, when SCR Altach 3-1 WSG Wattens.
Who has won more matches between SCR Altach and WSG Wattens?
SCR Altach have the better head-to-head record, with 4 wins from 10 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Early Goal Trends
SCR Altach are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 71% of their matches.
WSG Wattens are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 71% of their matches.
Full-Time Markets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — SCR Altach 53%, WSG Wattens 59% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 35% (SCR Altach) and 65% (WSG Wattens).
On the defensive side: SCR Altach have failed to score in 35% of games; WSG Wattens in 41%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = SCR Altach home games / WSG Wattens away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when SCR Altach play WSG Wattens?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 53% of SCR Altach's games and 59% of WSG Wattens's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 35% of SCR Altach's recent games and 65% of WSG Wattens's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do SCR Altach and WSG Wattens tend to score early?
SCR Altach have had a goal before half-time in 71% of their recent matches, WSG Wattens in 71% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Prediction vindicated as SCR Altach edge out WSG Wattens 1-0.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
SCR Altach beat WSG Wattens 1-0 at CASHPOINT Arena, Regular Season - 3, in the Bundesliga. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting SCR Altach 1.33 xG and WSG Wattens 1.20 xG, a combined 2.53. The scoreboard read 1-0 for 1 actual goal. WSG Wattens landed 1.2 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of SCR Altach attack 0.80 / defence 1.05 against WSG Wattens attack 0.85 / defence 1.14, drawn from 24/24 games (Blended).
On the result, the model split it SCR Altach 36% | Draw 34% | WSG Wattens 30%, with SCR Altach to win its most likely call at 36%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 46%. The game delivered 1, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 76% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 55% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 54% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (SCR Altach 50%, WSG Wattens 59%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 54%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
SCR Altach's trading profile (34 games, 17 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 50% of their matches — today it did not.
WSG Wattens's trading profile (34 games, 17 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 59% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 35% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — SCR Altach 0.82 PPG, WSG Wattens 1.12 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the SCR Altach win broke the near-deadlock. SCR Altach (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.47 average — tighter than their form line. WSG Wattens (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.41 scoring average — below par going forward.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.