Rapid Vienna 5-0 SCR Altach – Result & Analysis
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Poisson rates Rapid Vienna at 39% — the H2H record provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Rapid Vienna vs SCR Altach encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis & Preview
A Bundesliga encounter, Regular Season - 20 sees SCR Altach travel to Allianz Stadion to take on Rapid Vienna. The game is scheduled for Saturday 1 March 2025, 16:00 UTC.
Form Analysis
Looking at all fixtures this season, Rapid Vienna stand at 2W 4D 4L from 10 Bundesliga matches — 1.00 PPG. Last five: L D L L L. They are averaging 1.10 goals per game and conceding 1.30 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in 70% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets. This season is still relatively young for Rapid Vienna, so this record blends games from this season and last.
At home at Allianz Stadion, Rapid Vienna have gone 6W 1D 3L this season (10 games, 1.90 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. Their home PPG of 1.90 is noticeably stronger than their overall 1.00 — Rapid Vienna are significantly better at Allianz Stadion than their overall form suggests.
SCR Altach — All Games: 1W 3D 6L from 10 Bundesliga fixtures this season — 0.60 PPG. Last five: D L L W D. Their scoring rate of 0.90 per game is modest, conceding 1.60 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market. This season is still relatively young for SCR Altach, so this record blends games from this season and last.
SCR Altach's away record: 3W 1D 6L from 10 road trips in Bundesliga this season (1.00 PPG). Away from home they average 0.90 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game.
The form figures are too closely matched to derive a directional pick: Rapid Vienna 1.00 PPG, SCR Altach 0.60 PPG. Look to other data sets to build the analysis.
H2H Record
The fixture history tells a clear story: Rapid Vienna have dominated this rivalry, winning 6 of 6 past contests while SCR Altach have managed just 0 wins.
The 6 previous meetings have averaged 2.0 goals per game — a neutral rate that provides no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent clash, on 6 Oct 2024, ended 1–0 with Rapid Vienna winning.
The historical record gives Rapid Vienna a meaningful edge here — 6 wins from 6 meetings is the kind of ledger that should not be discounted when the form picture is inconclusive. Even away from home, the visitors have struggled to impose themselves in this fixture.
In-Play Profile
Rapid Vienna in-play tendencies (51 games, 25 at home): they score before half-time in 76% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 80% of the time; BTTS occurs in 52% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 44% of games (home games).
SCR Altach in-play tendencies (51 games, 25 at away): they score before half-time in 60% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 70% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 50% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 48% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 48% of games (away games); they fail to score in 39% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Rapid Vienna 49% versus SCR Altach 49%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Rapid Vienna 39% | SCR Altach 43%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Rapid Vienna 1.46 xG and SCR Altach 1.24 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Rapid Vienna attack 0.955 / defence 1.049 | SCR Altach attack 0.990 / defence 1.058. League average goals — home 1.447 / away 1.192. Data: 41 Rapid Vienna games / 41 SCR Altach games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Rapid Vienna 39% | Draw 32% | SCR Altach 29%. Fair-value odds: Rapid Vienna 2.56 | Draw 3.12 | SCR Altach 3.45. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 32% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 51% | BTTS probability 58% | Total xG 2.70. Over/Under 2.5 is close to a coin-flip at 51%/49% — the total xG of 2.70 sits near the 2.5 margin; this is a low-edge market from a Poisson standpoint. BTTS probability of 58% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Our Verdict
Poisson rates Rapid Vienna as the most likely outcome at 39% — marginal model lean. With a 32% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Rapid Vienna offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win. The opposing side holds a 29% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.70 combined xG gives a 51% probability to Over 2.5 — Poisson-only — limited corroboration.
Poisson assigns a 58% probability to BTTS Yes based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates are neutral: Rapid Vienna 50% | SCR Altach 50%.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Rapid Vienna vs SCR Altach | Competition: Bundesliga, Regular Season - 20 | Venue: Allianz Stadion • Kick-off: Saturday 1 Mar 2025, 16:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Rapid Vienna 39% | Draw 32% | SCR Altach 29% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 51% | BTTS 58% | xG Rapid Vienna 1.46 / SCR Altach 1.24 • Poisson strength factors: Rapid Vienna attack 0.955 / def 1.049 | SCR Altach attack 0.990 / def 1.058 | league avg home 1.447 / away 1.192 • Poisson stance: Rapid Vienna (39%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.46
Rapid Vienna xG
Expected Goals
1.24
SCR Altach xG
58%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
51%
Over 2.5
29%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Rapid Vienna vs SCR Altach kick off?
Rapid Vienna vs SCR Altach kicked off at 16:00 on Saturday 1 March 2025 at Allianz Stadion.
What was the final score in Rapid Vienna vs SCR Altach?
Rapid Vienna 5 - 0 SCR Altach.
Where is Rapid Vienna vs SCR Altach being played?
The match is being played at Allianz Stadion.
What competition is Rapid Vienna vs SCR Altach part of?
Rapid Vienna vs SCR Altach is a Regular Season - 20 fixture in the Bundesliga (Austria).
Who is favourite to win Rapid Vienna vs SCR Altach?
Our statistical model gives Rapid Vienna a 39% chance of winning, SCR Altach a 29% chance, and a 32% chance of a draw — making Rapid Vienna the favourite.
Will both teams score in Rapid Vienna vs SCR Altach?
Our model estimates a 58% probability that both Rapid Vienna and SCR Altach will score (BTTS).
Will Rapid Vienna vs SCR Altach have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 51%.
What is the head-to-head record between Rapid Vienna and SCR Altach?
Record (6 meetings): Rapid Vienna 6W | Draws 0 | SCR Altach 0W.
What form are Rapid Vienna and SCR Altach in?
Rapid Vienna (all comps): 2W-4D-4L in 10 | 1.00 PPG | GF 1.10 / GA 1.30 | L5 L-D-L-L-L. SCR Altach (all comps): 1W-3D-6L in 10 | 0.60 PPG | GF 0.90 / GA 1.60 | L5 D-L-L-W-D.
🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
Rapid Vienna's attacking strength (0.95x league average) is weighed against SCR Altach's defensive record (1.06x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.46. The same calculation in reverse, SCR Altach's attack versus Rapid Vienna's defence, projects 1.24 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 41/41 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 13.7%. Close behind: 2-1 (8.9%), 0-0 (8.3%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 31% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Rapid Vienna Win
39%
2.56
32%
3.09
29%
3.49
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.2%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
9.8%
Home win
2 – 1
8.9%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.46
Rapid Vienna xG
Total xG
2.70
1.24
SCR Altach xG
2.56
39%
Home win
3.09
32%
Draw
3.49
29%
Away win
Goals Markets
75%
Over 1.5
1.33
25%
Under 1.5
4.00
51%
Over 2.5
1.96
49%
Under 2.5
2.04
29%
Over 3.5
3.45
71%
Under 3.5
1.41
14%
Over 4.5
7.14
86%
Under 4.5
1.16
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
58%
BTTS Yes
1.73
42%
BTTS No
2.37
Clean Sheet
29%
3.45
23%
4.31
Win to Nil
11%
8.83
7%
15.05
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.7 | 8.3 | 5.1 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 9.8 | 12.2 | 7.5 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.2 | 8.9 | 5.5 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 3.5 | 4.3 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Rapid Vienna vs SCR Altach?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 13.7%.
How many goals are Rapid Vienna and SCR Altach expected to score?
The model projects 1.46 expected goals for Rapid Vienna and 1.24 for SCR Altach, a combined total of 2.70.
How confident is the prediction model for Rapid Vienna vs SCR Altach?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 39%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Where Both Sides Stand
Rapid Vienna come into this having played 51 games, going 18W 19D 14L for 1.43 points per game. Their last five reads L-D-L-L-L. The sample for Rapid Vienna is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
On the other side, SCR Altach sit at 0.88 PPG from 51 outings (9W 18D 24L), a run that reads D-L-L-W-D across their last five. The sample for SCR Altach is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Rapid Vienna carry the stronger recent form of the two, 0.55 PPG clear of SCR Altach — worth weighing alongside whatever the head-to-head and market data say.
Home Ground vs the Road
Rapid Vienna's home form reads 10W 8D 7L across 25 games on their own ground, a 1.52 PPG return.
Away from home, SCR Altach have taken 0.88 points per game from 25 outings (5W 7D 13L).
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Rapid Vienna come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
The Goals Picture
Rapid Vienna are averaging 1.37 goals scored and 1.12 conceded per game recently; SCR Altach are on 0.86 scored and 1.31 conceded.
Last 51 Results — Bundesliga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Rapid Vienna
Blended
SCR Altach
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Rapid Vienna and SCR Altach in coming into this match?
Rapid Vienna have gone 18W 19D 14L in their last 51 games (1.43 PPG), while SCR Altach have gone 9W 18D 24L in their last 51 (0.88 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Rapid Vienna at home or SCR Altach away?
Rapid Vienna's home record (1.52 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Rapid Vienna at home: 1.52 PPG; SCR Altach away: 0.88 PPG.
Have Rapid Vienna or SCR Altach been keeping clean sheets recently?
Rapid Vienna have kept a clean sheet in 33% of their recent games, SCR Altach in 24%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
A Look Back
The fixture history between Rapid Vienna and SCR Altach runs to 10 recorded meetings, the earliest dating back to November 2021. Every recorded meeting has come in Bundesliga. The two were last together as recently as 2 August 2026, so this form is fresh in the memory.
Digging Into the Numbers
The biggest gap between the sides came on 1 Mar 2025, when Rapid Vienna won 5-0 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
Rapid Vienna's record when hosting SCR Altach specifically: 5W 1D 0L from 6 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 10 Meetings
8
Rapid Vienna
2
Draws
0
SCR Altach
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Rapid Vienna and SCR Altach?
From 10 meetings on record, Rapid Vienna have won 8, SCR Altach have won 0, and 2 have been drawn.
When did Rapid Vienna and SCR Altach last play each other?
They last met on 2 August 2026, when Rapid Vienna 1-0 SCR Altach.
Who has won more matches between Rapid Vienna and SCR Altach?
Rapid Vienna have the better head-to-head record, with 8 wins from 10 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Half-Time Trends
Rapid Vienna are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 76% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 40% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 20% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one.
SCR Altach are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 60% of their matches.
The Numbers That Matter
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Rapid Vienna 52%, SCR Altach 48% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 44% (Rapid Vienna) and 48% (SCR Altach).
On the defensive side: Rapid Vienna keep a clean sheet in 32% of their matches; SCR Altach in 40%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Rapid Vienna home games / SCR Altach away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Rapid Vienna play SCR Altach?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 52% of Rapid Vienna's recent matches and 48% of SCR Altach's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Rapid Vienna vs SCR Altach usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 44% of Rapid Vienna's recent games and 48% of SCR Altach's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Rapid Vienna and SCR Altach tend to score early?
Rapid Vienna have had a goal before half-time in 76% of their recent matches, SCR Altach in 60% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Dominant Rapid Vienna run riot with a 5-0 hammering of SCR Altach.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Rapid Vienna beat SCR Altach 5-0 at Allianz Stadion, Regular Season - 20, in the Bundesliga. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Rapid Vienna 1.46 xG and SCR Altach 1.24 xG, a combined 2.70. The scoreboard read 5-0 for 5 actual goals. Rapid Vienna beat their projection by 3.5 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. SCR Altach landed 1.2 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Rapid Vienna attack 0.95 / defence 1.05 against SCR Altach attack 0.99 / defence 1.06, drawn from 41/41 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Rapid Vienna 39% | Draw 32% | SCR Altach 29%, with Rapid Vienna to win its most likely call at 39%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 51%. The game delivered 5, so it went over — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 78% and landed. Over 3.5 was 29% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 58% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 41% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Rapid Vienna 39%, SCR Altach 43%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 49%, which matched the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Rapid Vienna's trading profile (51 games, 25 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 49% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 33% of the time, and duly kept one.
SCR Altach's trading profile (51 games, 25 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 49% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 39% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
On form, Rapid Vienna arrived the stronger side — 1.43 PPG against 0.88. That form edge translated into the three points. Rapid Vienna (home/away splits) scored 5 against a 1.48 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.20 average — tighter than their form line. SCR Altach (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.84 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 5 against a 1.52 concession average — a leakier day than usual.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (hit). The model got the gist right while missing on the margins.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.